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Gambling on the $SKI Mask Dog

The article analyzes the impact of US dollar liquidity on the Crypto Assets market, pointing out that the trend of Bitcoin is closely related to the supply of US dollars. It is expected that in the first quarter of 2025, US dollar liquidity will net inject $612 billion, which may drive the market to pump, although a local peak may occur by the end of March. Investors are advised to increase their risk exposure in the first quarter, but to reduce position at the end of the quarter, while following changes in other macro factors.

Analysis of the Impact of US Dollar Liquidity on the Crypto Market The remote ski entrances of Hokkaido's ski resorts offer excellent terrain, most of which can be easily reached by cable car. At the beginning of each year, the most concerning question for skiing enthusiasts is whether there is enough snow coverage to open these entrances. For skiers, a major problem is "sasa," a type of bamboo plant. The stems of this plant are as thin as reeds, but the leaves are sharp as knives, and if you're not careful, they can cut your skin. Skiing on "sasa" is very dangerous because your ski edges may slip, leading to a dangerous game of "man vs tree." Therefore, if there is not enough snow to cover the "sasa," skiing in remote areas becomes highly risky. This year, Hokkaido's snowfall has reached a record high in nearly 70 years, with an astonishing depth of powder snow. As a result, the ski entrance in the back mountains opened at the end of December, whereas in previous years it typically opened in the first or second week of January. As 2025 approaches, investors are paying attention to

How will the liquidity of the US dollar affect the market trends of Crypto Assets? Recently, Crypto Assets investors have shifted their focus from ski resorts to market trends, paying particular attention to whether the "Trump rally" can be sustained. Although the high expectations for the Trump camp's policies may lead to short-term fluctuations, the stimulating effect of the dollar's Liquidity should not be overlooked. Currently, the trend of Bitcoin is closely related to the liquidity of the US dollar. The Federal Reserve and the US Treasury control the dollar supply in the global financial market, which is a key factor influencing the market. When Bitcoin hit bottom in the third quarter of 2022, it coincided with the peak of the Federal Reserve's reverse repurchase tool (RRP). Subsequently, the US Treasury reduced long-term bond issuance and increased short-term zero-coupon bond issuance, extracting over $2 trillion from the RRP and injecting liquidity into the global financial market, driving the rise of Crypto Assets and the stock market. In the first quarter of 2025, the key issue lies in the positive liquidity of the US dollar.